For years, investors poured money into the same big names, believing in their invincibility. But the market has a way of humbling even the biggest players.
Companies that once seemed unstoppable are losing steam, with margins shrinking, competition increasing, and stock prices struggling to keep pace. Meanwhile, there’s a different corner of the market that’s heating up—small-cap stocks. These under-the-radar companies have been left behind, but history tells us they may be gearing up for a comeback.
The Giants Aren’t What They Used to Be
It’s no secret that some of the biggest names in the market have been hitting roadblocks. Tesla, Disney, and PayPal—stocks that once seemed like easy winners—are now fighting off disappointing earnings, declining consumer sentiment, and shifting market dynamics.
Tesla has had to slash prices to stay competitive, eating into profit margins. Disney is dealing with the slow death of traditional media and the costly expansion of its streaming services. PayPal, once a leader in digital payments, is seeing increasing pressure from newer fintech competitors who are chipping away at its market share.
What’s the common thread here? These companies have outgrown their golden years of rapid growth but are still priced as if they haven’t. That’s a dangerous setup for investors who are still clinging to yesterday’s winners.
Small Caps Are Trading at Bargain Prices
While the market has been fixated on large caps, small-cap stocks have been sitting in the shadows, ignored and undervalued. The Russell 2000, which tracks smaller publicly traded companies, is still well below its 2021 highs. Even as earnings for many of these companies have improved, their stock prices haven’t caught up.
This disconnect between performance and valuation is what makes small caps so compelling right now. Historically, when markets shift, these stocks tend to lead the charge. Coming out of the 2008 financial crisis, small caps roared back, with the Russell 2000 gaining over 45% in a single year—far outpacing the broader market.
If history repeats itself, small caps could be in for a major run.
The Big Reason Small Caps Could Win Next
One of the biggest factors in small caps’ favor right now is valuation. The Russell 2000’s forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is hovering around 13, compared to nearly 20 for the S&P 500.
That means investors are paying significantly less for small caps relative to their earnings potential. When this kind of valuation gap has happened in the past, small caps have gone on to deliver some of the best returns in the market.
Beyond valuations, there’s also interest rates. Over the past two years, the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes have disproportionately hurt small-cap stocks. These companies often carry more debt than their large-cap counterparts, so rising borrowing costs have squeezed them harder. But if interest rates stabilize or even decline in 2025, that pressure starts to ease, opening the door for better growth.
The Best Sectors to Watch for Small-Cap Growth
Not all small caps will win, but certain sectors are setting up for strong performances.
Industrials are benefiting from major infrastructure spending and government-backed reshoring initiatives. Companies focused on manufacturing and logistics are well-positioned to capitalize on these tailwinds.
Regional banks, which took a massive hit in early 2023, are beginning to find stability as deposit trends improve and recession fears ease. As confidence returns to the sector, many of these smaller financial institutions could see a turnaround.
Healthcare is another space to keep an eye on. Biotech and medical device companies, many of which struggled due to capital constraints in recent years, could see a resurgence as investor interest and funding return.
Small Caps Aren’t for the Faint of Heart, But That’s the Opportunity
Small-cap stocks come with risks. They’re more volatile, have less liquidity, and are more susceptible to economic downturns. But for investors who know how to manage risk, they also offer some of the best upside potential in the market.
The key is finding high-quality companies with strong fundamentals—ones with solid balance sheets, consistent free cash flow, and real competitive advantages in their industries. Rather than blindly buying an index, savvy investors should look for companies that are quietly executing well but have been overlooked by the broader market.
For those looking to reduce individual stock risk, ETFs like the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) or actively managed small-cap value funds can provide diversified exposure while still taking advantage of the sector’s upside.
The Market Is Changing. Are You Ready?
Investors who keep looking to yesterday’s winners for future gains are playing a dangerous game. The landscape is shifting, and small caps are trading at some of the best valuations in years.
The opportunity is there—but only for those willing to step off the beaten path and look beyond the giants.